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Wednesday, June 21, 2006

Groupthink: The Government's Role in Dealing with Iran

Iran is smart to announce that they need until August 22 in order to reply to an international proposal on their nuclear activities. This is valuable time that Iran will use to continue to get ever closer to BD-Day (Bomb Developed-Day.) It is a race against the clock just like it was for our scientists in the Manhattan Project.

Unfortunately, the U.S. government and Europe continue to allow unreasonable delays in dealing with Iran. The groupthink of these entities is that to deny Iran the time to look at the proposals (over two months) would be contrary to diplomacy. Iran realizes that the world is extremely hesitant to use military force on Iran in light of activities in Iraq. The crisis in North Korea over the long range missile test may also be a coordinated effort between Iran and North Korea to take some of the heat off of Iran.

In the end Iran will develop the bomb and then the bargaining power of the U.S. and Europe will have evaporated. In fact not only will the bargaining power disappear when Iran has the bomb but the day will come when Iran holds the upper hand by blackmailing the west. They could do this by threatening to detonate a bomb in an American city even in the face of their own annihilation.

I sincerely hope this scenario would never play out but I'm afraid groupthink will paralyze the U.S. and European governments from taking the reasonable course of action with Iran. Both the U.S. and Europe are afraid that using military force on Iran would look like an attack on Islam to the people of the middle east and within their own countries. Keep in mind that both the U.S. and especially European countries have a high percentage of their population who are sympathetic to their islamic cult and middle eastern homelands. Any such attack on Iran could cause significant internal problems. Hence, the need to make the appearance of going overboard on diplomacy even when doing so endangers 100's of millions of U.S. and European citizens with each passing day.

Israel may be the wildcard in the dealings with Iran. Currently Iran is increasing its presence on the border with Israel. A major regional conflict could erupt with an Israeli strike on Iranian targets. Israel will not allow Iran to reach BD-Day. Any Israeli-Iran conflict would surely drag the U.S. into war with Iran. Oil embargoes would ensue. Expect Saudi Arabia to again cut off oil to the west. Military action against Iran would destroy their nuclear program for years to come. This is the best case scenario. It is not realistic to believe that any agreement can be had with the leader of Iran. He is a madman. It is not possible to make deals with a madman. Reference Hitler's deal with Stalin. Reference Clinton's deal with North Korea. Time is ticking.

In conclusion, this is a classic example of groupthink in its purest form. Governments are not capable of making the right decisions in times of crisis. The correct decision would be to attack Iran militarily as soon as possible in order to render it's nuclear program and fascist government destroyed.